Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 56.806389 64.830892 73.074160 82.140413 91.798429 101.748309 112.742957
2025-12-14 43.932246 55.263021 67.485995 81.506169 97.008180 113.503684 132.266619
2025-12-21 35.398619 48.258470 62.681513 79.752207 99.130291 120.204593 144.628796
2025-12-28 31.720351 46.128348 62.784930 82.962579 106.300610 132.065449 162.302996
2026-01-04 28.056279 43.499813 61.883957 84.639007 111.404152 141.343071 176.859266
2026-01-11 23.961061 39.870677 59.413740 84.144950 113.726178 147.241013 187.410093
2026-01-18 20.519185 36.696540 57.196437 83.690045 115.872620 152.757329 197.369580
2026-01-25 17.966979 34.426381 55.895355 84.167476 118.974398 159.260191 208.359366
2026-02-01 15.307100 31.717914 53.815925 83.500899 120.556413 163.872640 217.068800
2026-02-08 13.206530 29.579996 52.314181 83.420884 122.738613 169.105126 226.427573
2026-02-15 11.083578 27.157175 50.251328 82.479229 123.748023 172.856294 233.979128
2026-02-22 9.856881 26.000887 49.835390 83.601682 127.263592 179.565842 244.984655
2026-03-01 8.807838 25.040216 49.655465 85.032430 131.195380 186.833683 256.738642
2026-03-08 7.261388 23.014393 47.814494 84.153100 132.142820 190.445210 264.121991
2026-03-15 5.721939 20.734622 45.431378 82.409721 131.886301 192.510034 269.590817
2026-03-22 5.453186 20.876995 46.694420 85.670602 138.075517 202.490033 284.574647
2026-03-29 4.890031 20.337552 46.861249 87.378494 142.232435 209.955720 296.527227
2026-04-05 3.974854 18.881927 45.498981 86.875351 143.457338 213.759545 304.030307
2026-04-12 3.189162 17.535001 44.213590 86.412354 144.685197 217.531740 311.468640
2026-04-19 2.648959 16.649986 43.619783 86.898319 147.138759 222.815653 320.734524
2026-04-26 2.029076 15.367008 42.267652 86.219810 147.996194 226.065673 327.494040
2026-05-03 1.573335 14.383565 41.355408 86.138360 149.620484 230.259180 335.393520
2026-05-10 1.108885 13.144748 39.897161 85.179768 150.014030 232.862528 341.314525